CGLA Economic and Political Research Practice focuses on analyzing the
underlying economic and political trends in the different countries of Latin
America and the Caribbean, as well as trends in the global economy for clients
in the private and public sectors. CGLA Research Practice can help domestic and
foreign clients to make accurate assessments of how local conditions and the
international context can affect their investment prospects and risks in the
different countries of the region. CGLA Research Practice can also help central
and local governments, as well as central banks, to assess the impact of
alternative policy measures. The Practice is led by Dr. Claudio Loser (Bio.)
and Ambassador Marcilio Marques Moreira (Bio.).
It draws on the full resources of the Centennial Group.
CGLA offers clients the following products:
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Detailed analysis and projections under different scenarios that would help
clients to anticipate major turning points in investment conditions.
Projections for major domestic variables - GDP growth, inflation, current
account balance, exchange and interest rates, fiscal accounts, etc., as well as
major international variables that affect them;
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Monitoring of early economic and political warning indicators to identify risks
and/or opportunities for clients;
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Analysis of key developments as they unfold - policy announcements, major data
releases, political and congressional events, external and domestic shocks -
and how they impact clients' specific areas of concern. More elaborate reports
on such developments can be prepared in cases where the sector implications are
important and of particular interest to clients;
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Assessment of whether financial markets' reactions to developments have led to
under-valuation of assets or other investment opportunities;
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Monitoring and identification of changing structural, legislative, and
institutional trends and the opportunities they present to clients; in-depth
analysis of such trends which may have been under-appreciated by the markets
but which may have important implications for specific clients;
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Preparation of specific reports, based on rigorous economic analysis, presented
in a user-friendly format, on issues of importance, particularly on those on
which we have views that may enhance the investment possibilities of clients;
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Assessment of sovereign risk as well as specific risks (political, policy,
economic, or currency); assessments of sovereign risk for banks and
corporations which, contrary to that of rating agencies are independent (that
is, not paid by the governments which are being rated); advise to central and
local governments on policies and measures that could improve the risk of their
debt instruments;
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Assistance with different scenario-planning for private sector and public
companies;